April 18, 2010

Show #103: Braves Take Both Series in Week 2

Managing Wagner, the lead off spot, the Glaus Ceiling, MVP/LVP, and state of the team in week 2.

 

 

407 Responses to “Show #103: Braves Take Both Series in Week 2”

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  1. 51
    Steve Says:

    Leah – we could not see into the dugout from our angle. And we (well, I anyway) had no idea it was going on until Nate rounded 3rd and I realized the team wasn’t meeting him at the plate (I was too busy screaming and high fiving to notice at first). They showed the scene inside the tunnel up on the big screen. LOVE what it says about the chemistry on the team, but, to your point, I felt robbed of the on field celebration. But it’s nit picking. What a win!!!! I’m still so crazy jazzed. I watched all the homeruns again with my son this morning. Unbelievable.

  2. 52
    Curt Says:

    It’s pretty sweet to hear Joe Simpson’s audio of the homers this morning.

  3. 53
    Steve Says:

    Here’s my prediction for tonight’s line-up:

    Nate
    Prado
    Chipper
    McCann
    Glaus
    Heyward
    Esco
    Melky
    Hudson

  4. 54
    Steve Says:

    Curtis – agreed. I’ve watched the video of all 3 homers countless times this morning. I also stayed up to watch the midnight Baseball Tonight last night because I was too wound up to go to bed. I am totally wrecked this morning and my voice is a travesty after all the screaming. What a game!

  5. 55
    Curt Says:

    I have a feeling Hinske might start.

  6. 56
    Leah Says:

    I know I’m certifiable but I’m excited about tonight. Somebody post some rediculous stats to bring me back down to reality Quick! My 9 year old is home sick today. I’m doing what every good mother would do and making him watch the last 3 innings of the game. He keeps looking at me and asking “do we win”? He thinks I’m punishing him. Bottom of the 9th coming up!

  7. 57
    Bubdylan Says:

    There’s nothing wrong with being excited about tonight. Halladay has lost 76 times in his career. And that’s not counting no-decisions his team lost. Last year, he lost 10 times. He allows a hit or a walk per inning, same as Tim Hudson.

    I think the Phillies have to be favored because there’s a decent chance we’ll never see their bullpen. And because their offense is relentless. But it’s not impossible to win. Accuscore gives us a 47% chance.

    Momentum is on our side. Pressure is completely on Philly, since they’ve lost 4 straight and they know they are supposed to win today. Their hitters might start pressing if Hudson gives ‘em the business early on, and especially if Atlanta sneaks a run across early.

    I predict a 4-2 Phillies win, but I feel plenty justified in hoping for better. You’re not certifiable for THIS reason.

  8. 58
    Bubdylan Says:

    149 – 78 Hudson’s career.

    151 – 76 Halladay’s career.

  9. 59
    Leah Says:

    And what pray tell makes me certifiable mister? Wait, nevermind. Don’t answer that. Your prediction helps a little but I wonder if we can’t have two miracle nights in a row. My favorite part rewatching the game is Nate’s face when he rounded 1st and then him clapping his hands when he headed down the dugout steps. My favorite game EVER!

  10. 60
    Bubdylan Says:

    Are you guys interested in this WPA stat that Talking Chop has been posting a lot? If you don’t know, it calculates the difference in your chances of winning the game before and after each at bat. Jason Heyward leads the majors in increasing the team’s chance to win per at bat. Leads. the. MAJOR. LEAGUES. In increasing his team’s chance to win. What a rookie.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=3&season=2010&month=0

  11. 61
    Bubdylan Says:

    And even after last night, Troy Glaus trails all major league first basemen in WPA. He’s done more per at bat to subtract from his team’s chance of winning than any other first baseman. Booooooo.

  12. 62
    Steve Says:

    Leah, to bring you back down to earth (stolen from a DOB tweet), the Braves are batting .215 over their last eight games. The end of game heroics are not sustainable. We gots to hit more.

  13. 63
    Bubdylan (as Homer) Says:

    Or, put another way: If our pitching has allowed us to win games while hitting .215, imagine how good we’ll be when we hit .280, :)

    (Actually, what I’m hoping for, of course, is for us to win at the same clip when the late-inning heroics come back down to earth at the same time our hitting comes… up to earth. Bad as we are, there’s no way we’ll keep hitting .215. If this team’s got nothing else, it’s got batting average.)

  14. 64
    Curt Says:

    And imagine if we can hit and still take all these walks. We’ll blow people out. It was shocking to see the Phils averages posted and then see ours. Yikes.

  15. 65
    Steve Says:

    Curt – it’s so true. If Nate just gets back to being the career .260 hitter that he is and Glaus to his career .255 average this team gets really dangerous. And I believe the walks are here to stay. Heyward demands it and so it shall be.

  16. 66
    Leah Says:

    Heard a guy say today Prado is best #2 guy out there and if McLouth can bat .250 he could steal a ton of bases with Prado behind him. So, I know one homerun a turn around doesn’t make but can we be a little optimistic about these guys?

  17. 67
    Kathryn Says:

    Leah – Was the guy Eric Karabell?

  18. 68
    Bubdylan (as Homer) Says:

    It would certainly solve a world of trouble if McLouth could succeed at the top.

  19. 69
    Bubdylan (as Homer) Says:

    Nice call on the lineup, Steve. Nailed it.

  20. 70
    Leah Says:

    Werth looks like a Neanderthal. Kathryn, I’m terrible at remembering names. It’s the ESPN Baseball Today podcast guy. Not my Favorite podcast but it’s not bad. Helped me clean my house.

    Sticking 2nd so far.

  21. 71
    Leah Says:

    Webgem!

  22. 72
    Leah Says:

    Glaus hitting a homer off Halliday would have been too poetic.

  23. 73
    Leah Says:

    Baseball gods hate me. What did I ever do to them?

  24. 74
    Leah Says:

    Oh I remember the day when Bub and Cledus would chat with me during the game. It was way less depressing when you’re scoreless and lady luck hates you.

  25. 75
    Bubdylan (as Homer) Says:

    Don’t be depressed, doll. Lots of good things: Venters, Hudson, Saito.

    One disgusting thing: Escobar not hustling on the DP. I hope Chipper Jones slaps him across the earhole for that one.

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