Hey guys, good show. Do you think we add Teheran and Delgado to the bullpen mix for Septmeber, and would they be eligible for the postseason? I could see those 2 really helping out the team by pitching the 6th or 7th and letting us rest O’Ventbrel for the postseason.
Nate, depending on how it shakes out, those guys might be getting starts so the starters can rest and the postseason rotation can be set early on. I imagine they, Pastornicky, and a couple of others will be up.
Great show guys, as always. Steve — during the Postseason Hope Meter segment, you said exactly what I was thinking: that y’all will need to change it to NLCS Hope Meter or something like that. At this point, there’s no way that we lose a 8.5-game lead with the Giants playing the way they have, and the Cardinals not doing too hot either. Knock on wood, but no way.
My postseason rotation really depends on how Hanson rebounds. I don’t think that we can count him out of playing altogether, but it may not be a bad idea to skip him in the first round when we’re playing the Brewers. Cause if we advance to the NLCS, he could go in game 1 with a fresh, rested arm, and that could make a big difference. I would go:
Hudson’s a slam-dunk #1. JJ had only one start against Milwaukee this year, but it was a great one. Lowe could be a #2, but even if he does have another great (or even decent) September, he’d be a strong #3. However, Beachy has dominated the Brewers this year in two starts (12 IP, 16 K, 1 earned run), so perhaps he’d be better suited for going #2 or #3.
We have a winning record against the Brewers this season (5-3), but that can be very deceptive. They were 2 games under .500 when they came to Atlanta and we swept them in May, and since that series, they’ve gone 68-36. That’s phenomenal.
But let’s face it — they’re bound for a first-round bounce from the playoffs. I don’t think they keep up this pace through September and into the postseason. Probably the Braves’ homer in me coming out, but I think that they’ll come back to earth before too long.
The most pressurized games are 1,3 and 5. So I only would trust jj or huddy in those games. I know Lowe has experience but I have a feeling he could implode and Beachy is a rookie so game 2 would be the best spot for him. Just in case we are down 2-0 you don’t want a rookie on the mound.
Walker – great point about the pressure in certain games. But, doesn’t game 2 become highly pressurized if you lose game 1? My only point being is I don’t know that you can build the rotation in that way.
The stats I meant to have last night during the show. Here are road stats for our four post-season starters (which I think we all agree are Huddy, JJ, Lowe, and Beachy).
Hudson – 5-4 with a 4.04 era
JJ – 6-3 with a 2.61
Lowe – 5-9 with a 4.47 (although he has six more starts than either of the above)
Beachy – 4-1 with a 3.24
Unless we move mountains, let’s face it – we’re opening the playoffs on the road against the Brewers. I think you go Hudson, JJ (on the road) then Lowe (just in case it is an elimination game), then Beachy (or maybe even Hudson again). In a do or die game, I think I trust Lowe over Beachy. Not by a lot, but by enough.
personally, i bump beachy up a slot in the postseason rotation. let him pitch game 3, at least.
honestly, its hard to go wrong with the postseason rotation. the guys we have are all solid, and all capable of putting up a shutout on any given night. id like to have it set up for hudson to pitch game 1. outside of that, im ok with letting it fall where it will.
this braves team may produce some very memorable post season games, by the way. im gonna expect a few extra innings along the way.
Game 2 is highly pressurized but it isn’t an elimination game. I just don’t feel comfortable with Lowe or Beachy in a win or go home situation. Without Hanson he is our only swing and miss pitcher and could really work well in game two. Lets say the Brewers lose game 1. They will come out game two impatient and aggressive. Beach can frustate them. JJ is perfect for the 1st home game. And my feelings on Lowe is that I dont trust him.
When we’re up or down 2-1 to the Brewers, I want JJ and Huddy pitching for the series win or to save us from elimination. I wouldn’t feel very good about a 2-1 series deficit and a rookie or Lowe as our only hope of staying alive. The problem I see with my postseason rotation is if we drop game 1, I want JJ pitching instead of the other 2, so maybe you swap Beachy and JJ in my rotation. The problem there is if you’re down in the series 2-1, it all falls on the shoulders of the rookie in his first postseason appearance. I’m glad I don’t have to make these decisions, and I am terrified that Fredi has to make these decisions.
Lot of baseball left to see which starters hold up during September. I’m betting though that Lowe is going to have to earn a start against Brewers with more than a couple of quality starts between now and then. Lowe hasn’t shown much big game success this year and getting your pitchers of the future in these games builds them for more success. ON the other hand, if Lowe is hot, he starts at least one in first series. It also makes him more tradeable in off season.
M in M, no acknowledgement that it might be important to get your most important offensive weapon back in a game the day after he said he’s found his swing and there’s at least 2 days of rest to follow? I get the giving him rest thing, but after an 0 – 15, you’ve got to get him back in there after that kind of declaration.
Hey all. Buried my mom today. My first evening of rest in months, and I’m listening to the podcast as a way of returning to some sense of normalcy. It’s working, too, I have to say. Good to hear your voices. I checked the standings just now; it’s nice to see we’re at least closer to Philly than the next WC contenders are to us. Missed you guys. Starting school tomorrow, so I’ll be sparse, but be back soon.
(In lieu of flooding the comments with condolences, the family requests silent birdie fingers be lifted North toward Citi Field for 30 seconds. Go Braves.)