February 13, 2012

Show #172: Interview with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus

Kevin talks about his Top 11 Braves prospects and the minor league system.  And Spring Training story lines.

 

 

163 Responses to “Show #172: Interview with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus”

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  1. 101
    john j Says:

    Does anyone remember how/why MLB approved Liberty Media ownership of the Braves? Generally, MLB has some guidelines about how an owner will contribute to improving the game. Who got paid off?

    There are still a lot of Braves fans throughout the country. A national boycott of all Liberty Media companies/investments until they sell the Braves would go a long ways to encourage a sale. Start by dropping Starz.

  2. 102
    Bubdylan Says:

    Curt, love #98.

    My caption: “So I was like, bunt! And he was like, that’s giving away an out. But I was like, yeah, but, bunt! Am I right or am I right? (O’Brien and Bowman burst into uncomfortable laughter) Or am I right? Or am I right?” Photographer: SNAP.

  3. 103
    Kate Says:

    The good news just keeps coming.

    http://blogs.ajc.com/atlanta-braves-blog/2012/02/28/braves-1b-freeman-hurts-knee-during-workout/

  4. 104
    Bubdylan Says:

    And here’s more bad news, in my opinion. This can’t be a good idea for this team, especially considering Fredi’s tendency to run us into outs too much.

    http://blogs.ajc.com/jeff-schultz-blog/2012/02/28/braves-will-be-better-off-with-a-more-aggressive-mindset/?cp=1#comment-441602

    My secret hope is now that we’ll stink so bad this year that we clean house. I can’t see anything better than that realistically happening.

  5. 105
    Curt Says:

    Wasn’t it Chipper who said in his interview that it is important to have guys getting on so one of their big guys could hit a 3-run homer? Am I mistaken? Might help to have the coach and the captain with their heads screwed on in the same direction.

  6. 106
    Anne Says:

    FB post from a friend and fellow baseball fan back in the Bay Area: “Season hasn’t even started and I have already heard enough Buster Posey talk.”

  7. 107
    DAP Says:

    Bubdylan “My secret hope is now that we’ll stink so bad this year that we clean house. I can’t see anything better than that realistically happening.”

    That’s a strange point of view for a fan, given how much promise this team has.

    Yeah, lets clean house. Our ROY closer and two ROY runners up, the best catcher in baseball, the best right handed slugger in the league, our HOF 3rd baseman, and promising young starting staff.

    By the way, with a player like Michael Bourn, he always has the green light to steal. Fredi won’t be giving him the steal sign, ever. Dont worry too much about Fredi “running us into outs”.

  8. 108
    Bubdylan Says:

    DAP, in 2011, the Braves stole 77 bases and were caught stealing 44 times. If you don’t see that as running into outs, I don’t know what to say.

    http://2011-mlb-team.pikimal.com/top/10/stealing-bases

    And besides the stats, don’t you just remember all the dead rallies from failed attempts at “small ball”?

    And now they’re in the press saying they gotta be more aggressive on the basepaths. And letting a guy who already had the green light keep his green light doesn’t equal getting more aggressive.

    I appreciate the optimism, but none for me, thanks. For one spring in my life, I’m ducking the suckerpunch.

  9. 109
    Bubdylan Says:

    The rest of the division, just for perspective:

    Phillies: stole 96, caught 24 (80%)
    Mets: stole stole 130, caught 35 (78%)
    Nats: stole 106, caught 38 (73%)
    Fish: stole 94, cauht 41 (69%)

    Braves 77 & 44 yields 63%, easily the worst. And we’re going to try it more? We managed to steal the fewest bases in the league while getting caught the most times. That ain’t easy. And if that’s not Fredi’s call, whose is it?

  10. 110
    Bubdylan Says:

    *in the division, not league. Sorry.

  11. 111
    Bubdylan Says:

    Last thing & I’ll shut up:

    Since the Braves had the lowest OBP in the division, this means that on top of throwing away more baserunners than anybody else, WHILE netting the fewest steals, they ALSO had fewer baserunners to begin with, meaning that they squashed a much larger percentage of their potential runs with bad attempts than anyone else.

    They need to steal and hit-and-run less, not more. It’s a bad gamble in general anyway, but especially when you do it this poorly. But instead, they figure they’ll do it more.

    Like one AJC commenter on the issue said, “My house is on fire. I keep throwing this watery substance on it (gasoline), but it only gets worse!”

  12. 112
    john j Says:

    Considering the payroll limitations and the ownership, the Braves have a very good and competitive team. No housecleaning is needed or wanted by most of us. With a break or two (starters healing quickly) and/or a comeback or two (Heyward, Prado), the Braves are in this. I’ll endorse a housecleaning of ownership and for Fredi if he doesn’t wise up.

    My concern has stayed the same; the housecleaning will be out of necessity as the current ownership will NOT cough up the money/risk to keep all the young talent on this team. Which means they better win this year as they will be losing some of this talent soon.

    Stealing will improve this year if anyone gives a rat’s ###.

  13. 113
    john j Says:

    sorry for interupting Bub’s streak.

  14. 114
    Bubdylan Says:

    john j, more of a spiral than a streak. :) Glad to be stopped.

  15. 115
    Bubdylan Says:

    MLB Network’s “Top 100 Players Right Now” has released #’s 100 – 61, and four Braves are in it so far:

    #94 Bourn
    #93 Kimbrel
    #84 Uggla
    #71 Hudson

    They’re surrounded by some pretty studly names on the list, so that’s nice.

  16. 116
    Steve Says:

    89 win team last year, dropping 20 of last 30. I get that the Nats and Fish should be much improved and the Phillies pitching makes them more than dangerous, but I’m only getting more and more optimistic as the season approaches.

  17. 117
    Nate Says:

    Our young pitching staff was one of the best in baseball last year. This year they get younger and better with the subtraction of Lowe, Linebrink, and Sherrill. Not having Derek Lowe start 30 games for you is a huge plus. We’ll be fine.

    No one other than Bourn or Pastornicky should be running. As a team, the Braves are the slowest in baseball.

    Heyward should be able to steal some bases, but he always gets hurt sliding.

  18. 118
    Curt Says:

    Prado and Heyward should be able to steal bases. I just don’t think the Braves players are making a smooth transition to this type of baseball. It’s like going from a 3 yards and a cloud of dust offense to a west coast offense. Change won’t happen overnight.

  19. 119
    Curt Says:

    Wild story from Braves camp. Good luck to this guy.

    http://blogs.ajc.com/atlanta-braves-blog/2012/02/29/braves-slugger-gattis-has-a-story-man-does-he-ever/?cxntfid=blogs_atlanta_braves_blog

  20. 120
    David Says:

    116 – me too, as far as optimism goes. Assuming that these injuries don’t linger throughout the season (Freeman, Hanson, Hudson), I think we will be one of the top NL teams.

    Also, I’m expecting a mediocre, near-.500 first month or so, if only because that’s how the Braves always seem to fare.

  21. 121
    Vinnie Says:

    I think everyone is over rating the Phils. Rollins is old. Shane V is a year older. Utley, as great as he is, has joint issues that are only going to get worse as time goes along. Howard…who know when he’ll return. They’ve already dumped one of the four GODS of pitching, Oswalt. They hate their “Jason Heyward”, Domonic Brown. Their relievers are gone. I think the Braves have a REAL shot. A good shot. The Phils might just finish third.

  22. 122
    Curt Says:

    Don’t overlook that Braves killer, Raul Ibanez, is now a Yank.

    So we got rid of Livan Hernandez and Raul Ibanez, and by extension, Wes Helms. That might be 7 more wins right there.

  23. 123
    Vinnie Says:

    How sad is it that a 40 yr old dude like Ibanez was the most feared of all the Phillies?

  24. 124
    Walker Says:

    @117

    I honestly think Heyward should be able to steal 20+ bases.

  25. 125
    Walker Says:

    Im glad they will enact the extra wild card but I am nervous as hell about that one game playoff. We have to win NL East.

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