I don’t see how the experts can make a pick, really. Baseball players, pitchers included, only do what they “normally do” about half the time. Way too much abnormality. In fact the reason baseball fans are always complaining is because on a game-by-game basis, you can’t count on anything to go like it should. Thus ace-versus-#5 starter games don’t go like they should, etc.
Blah blah blah. Just one more way to say that this one-game business is a travesty of the game of baseball.
Fortunately, Medlen might, MIGHT be the rare piece that performs so consistantly that we have an advantage today. Unless, of course, our hitters match his consistancy with their own inconsistancy. In which case, we still win via Kimbrel.
We ought to track, though, for fun, how many of the factors, let alone outcomes, predicted by the experts turn out anything like they thought.
Things I really hope don’t happen:
1. Cardinals get on base via a bunt up the 3rd base line
2. Heyward to lose a fly ball in the sun (stupid 5:07 start time!)
3. Molina catches runners stealing
4. Or, maybe even worse than 3, Molina picks a runner off!
Just getting the worries out. Braves got this. GO BRAVES!!!
1. Chipper hits GW homer: 35 points
2. Chipper hits any HR: 15 points
3. Kimbrel K’s 3: 10 points
4. Meds allows 0 runs: 10 points
5. Braves walk off in the 9th: 15 points
6. Any Brave takes lead after 6th inning via XBH: 5 points
7. Any Brave K’s a Cardinal with bases juiced, 2 outs, after 7th inning: 5 points
8. Medlen picks a runner off first: 5 points
Anything over 50 from that list would cost me an eviction from my apartment.