March 16, 2014

Show #253: The Braves New Look Starting Rotation

Life without Medlen and Beachy.  The Ervin Santana acquistion. And checking in on BJ and Uggla’s ST stats.



13 Responses to “Show #253: The Braves New Look Starting Rotation”

  1. 1
    Leah Says:

    Scary and sad. Every correspondence with Meds that I read about is just heartbreaking.

  2. 2
    Jason connelly Says:

    Great podcast guys! I personally think the Braves are at about -5 games or so without Medlen and Beachy. I origionally agreed with your -10 WAR, but i believe that too many variables are to be considered and we would have to be extremely unlucky to have an extra 10 losses because these pitchers are gone. I look forward to the podcast next sunday!

  3. 3
    Steve Says:

    Hi Jason. Thanks for the kind words.

    Assuming a drop of 5 games due to the injuries, let’s say that puts the Braves win total at somewhere between 87 – 92. Scary numbers on the low end there.

  4. 4
    Shaun Says:

    Not really all that related to Braves baseball, but I recommend this to all sport fans:

  5. 5
    Tony Says:

    Great podcast. Very interesting question about why Mazzone didn’t get another job after leaving Baltimore, has anyone found an answer to that yet?

    Have to admit, when I was trying to calculate what losing Beachy & Medlen might cost us, I came up with ten games as well. It’s a big burden for the hitters to pick up.

  6. 6
    Steve Says:

    Thanks for the kind words, Tony.

    If no Medlen and Beachy result in a 10 game drop off, I’d say the chances of another playoff appearance are slim to none. Unless Strasburg and Fister just snapped elbow ligaments as I’m writing this.

  7. 7
    Mark in Memphis Says:

    Well, it is official.

    Meds and Beachy will be TJ recovery buddies… Beachy to have TJ on March 21…

    Guess we will see what the “young’uns” are made of…

  8. 8
    Curt Says:

    I think that might be a little high for Beachy. Remember, he only started 5 games last year, so not as if he was really there. Now if you throw replacing Hudson and Maholm into that mix as well, I’m with you. Plus McCann?

  9. 9
    Steve Says:

    The McCann/Gattis topic is a good one. He’ll be serviceable behind the plate and the starting pitchers have been complimentary of his game calling ability. So, I’m not too worried there. It’s what kind of offensive player will he be? He looked awful for stretches last year. And he looked great at other times. And he was the most consistent bat in the playoff series last year, too. But does he get exposed playing everyday this year?

  10. 10
    Shaun Says:

    The loss of Hudson might be a bit overstated too. He had 21 starts, an ERA+ of 97 and a WAR of 1, according to Baseball-Reference. They have Maholm at a -0.1 WAR. Medlen’s 3.3 WAR is the big hit.

    B-Ref had McCann at a 2.2 WAR.

  11. 11
    Walker Says:

    Losing Medlen and Beachy will not be a 10 game drop off. Getting Santana, a healthy J Hey, and improvements from Uggla/Upton cut into that.

  12. 12
    Danny Says:

    Speaking of a new look, I found this surprising:
    “Heyward is now preparing to enter the upcoming season with a longer tenure in Atlanta than any other player projected to be on the Braves’ Opening Day roster.” from the most recent MLB post about Heyward.

    I initially thought, like many of you that a 10 game drop off was about right, but I think a lot of our younger talent will begin to emerge this year. All of those losses are tragic, but most of those players seem to have played less than half of last season anyway.

    A few years ago, when we were in the doldrums, one of you described our team’s hopes as the “festering ifs.” It still makes me laugh (and cry) at how accurate this is every year.
    – If our young starters live up to their potential
    – If everyone stays healthy
    – If BJ/Uggs turn it around
    – If Chris Johnson is for real
    – If Andrelton Simmons is better than A-Rod in his prime
    – If Heyward stays healthy
    – If no one else gets hurt
    We will win the WS in four games! (Maybe even 3)

  13. 13
    Kenneth Says:

    The team has an outside chance of the playoffs but twofold adjustments need to be made immediately. Number one, move Heyward to center, Jup right or left is fine and start Schafer in right or left, utilize bj off the bench as a possible fifth outfielder. It’s pretty obvious and absolutely clear that bj cannot handle major league pitching, not to mention his horrible defensive blunders, misreading the ball, letting it fall when he could catch it, etc, etc, etc. Number two, go ahead and release Garcia now, so fans don’t have to watch him fall apart and lose every game he starts for the tram,. Garcia should be watching the games from his couch. He certainly has nothing left and his career ended before last year this appears to be another illiterate move by wren, not understanding baseball on either the business side or the player talent side. Pre example is bj, another overpaid, underperforming, player that should be retired sooner than later to minimize the damage and economic friction he jas caused this team

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