February 16, 2010

Show #93: Our Interview with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus

Kevin talks all things farm system.  Jason Heyward, Freddie Freeman, Mike Minor, Jordan Schafer, and much more.


 

 

193 Responses to “Show #93: Our Interview with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus”

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  1. 76
    Anne Says:

    FINALLY listened to the show…nice work, fellas. I like that Goldstein fellow even if he’s not so hot on Diaz.

    Curt: way to bring up E/R and ER. “Clark Street ER…” damned funny.

  2. 77
    Bubdylan Says:

    Johnny Damon’s 2009 success really seems tied to Yankee Stadium when I look at the splits. Maybe he just had more confidence there.

    http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/split.cgi?n1=damonjo01&year=&t=b

    Scariest part is that his BABIP was fifty points higher on the road. So, on top of hitting only 7 of his 24 “homeruns” on the road (in just 10 fewer plate appearances), and OPS’ing a hellalarge 120 points lower on the road, this was all while having better luck (BABIP isn’t all luck, but it’s much luck, right?).

    I’m thinking he may flounder in ’10. Braves will be glad they lost out on this one.

  3. 78
    Princess Leah Says:

    Bub, go back to the last show’s message board. We covered this buddy. Remember? I believe!!!!!

  4. 79
    Bubdylan Says:

    Well, you and Steve have UNcovered it for some sadistic reason. And if you only mean the homers-that-would-have-been-homers-at-the-Ted graphic from Joe What’s-A-Wind-Tunnel Fan, then this is a slightly different set of stuffs.

    But I must be out of my mind for getting back into this anyway. I think I’ll go look for some Jo Jo Reyes outings on video.

  5. 80
    Bubdylan Says:

    I hope the above post doesn’t seem as unpleasant to you as it does to me on re-reading it. I suck at life.

  6. 81
    Princess Leah Says:

    Bubdylan doesn’t suck at life. You’re wrong about Damon and you may be a Paw Paw but no sucktitude.

  7. 82
    Bubdylan Says:

    Wait. WHAT? Okay, just… scratch that. I’ve misunderstood something or something.

    James has Chipper for 87 doubles and 1 homer. I, uh… okay. I’ve officially been educated beyond my intelligence.

  8. 83
    Bubdylan Says:

    Pfff. Okay, scratch me scratching that. Because my post that needs to be scratched is awaiting moderation. Too bad, too. It was oh so clever.

  9. 84
    Princess Leah Says:

    We ALL appreciate your moderation. Who the hell is James?

  10. 85
    Bubdylan Says:

    Bill James. He makes baseball projections.

  11. 86
    Princess Leah Says:

    He’s just plain wrong about that one homer.

  12. 87
    Bubdylan Says:

    Okay, I see what happened now. On the Bill James chart I looked up, all Chipper’s stats got bumped over by one column. The 87 doubles are supposed to be his singles. And the 21 runs they had Chipper scoring are his HR totals. James predicts 21 homers for Jones. It’s just a bad chart. I’d link it for you, but that’s what I tried above and it got BANNED.

  13. 88
    Bubdylan Says:

    Steve, I was just scanning the Wiki article on Michael Clayton and noticed that the screenwriter also co-wrote State of Play.

  14. 89
    Princess Leah Says:

    Whew…that sounds much better.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1fWmc1y4qc

  15. 90
    Hammy Says:

    Back to movie talk – my wife and I just watched Couples Retreat. It is not Michael Clayton and Vince Vaughn is not George Clooney.

    (One other thing about M.C. was the ending – I think I actually clapped or said “Woohoo” when Tilda Swinton and Co. got her comeuppance at the end. Just a great, great ending. I also think that she (Tilda) really earned the Oscar with that scene alone.)

    Stevie – I follow your logic, and I am beginning to believe you on Damon. I am still totally on the fence if it is a good thing or not. I know the thinking behind him being at the top of the lineup, McLouth going lower etc, but I could also see him laying a colossal deuce at the plate and in the field and Bobby not being able to bench him because of his blind loyalty to veterans. Can J-Hey play all three positions? At once?

    Also, anyone want to start taking bets on Opening Day starter?

  16. 91
    Bubdylan Says:

    Hammy, if the Jair Scare goes completely away, I think he’s the most diplomatic, and the best choice. The best because he can handle it and he’s ready. The most diplomatic because if Bobby doesn’t pick either of the veterans, there’s no subsequent weirdness between Huddy and Lowe. They’ll both feel benevolent about passing the torch along to the next guy, etc. Maximum warm fuzzy potential.

    But if I had to put money down, Huddy.

  17. 92
    Curt Says:

    Dear God, agreeing with Bub again. It’s Hudson. No doubt. Then Lowe, JJ, Hanson, KK.

  18. 93
    Bubdylan Says:

    Yeah, I mean, they’re on record saying Huddy’s the best pitcher (from the Vazquez trade conversations) on the team already. Unless he lays an egg in ST I think he’s definitely Bobby’s man.

  19. 94
    Hammy Says:

    I meant to throw mine out there as well. I’m with you, Bub. I think that Bobby realizes the message of confidence the opening day nod gives to someone, and I think that Bobby thinks that Huddy needs it more than any of the other guys do. I also like DOB’s theory that starting Lowe on the road (as the 4th) might be the best thing after all of the acrimony (real or perceived) in the off-season.

    I would love it if it were Hanson. That way he is on the fast track to win 30.

  20. 95
    Bubdylan Says:

    DOB’s theory makes more sense than even that. Putting him 4th will set him up to face a #4 hitter, giving him a better chance to make his first home start with at least one win under his belt.

    Also, there’s potential for double disaster if they start Lowe on OD, because I think that lines him up to face Lincecum in SF.

  21. 96
    Bubdylan Says:

    Shoot. I mean’t “Putting him 4th will set him up to face a #4 STARTER”

  22. 97
    Bubdylan Says:

    mean’t??

    Night night.

  23. 98
    Anne Says:

    Pitchers & catchers report in…21 minutes. I’m liking Hamilton’s idea, and my money’s on Hanson to start on Opening Day.

  24. 99
    Steve Says:

    I agree with Curt on the rotation to start the year. I think there’s no chance that Bobby would start JJ or Hanson and, between Huddy and Lowe, it’s got to be Huddy. So, the rotation will be; Hudson, Lowe, JJ, Hanson, KK

  25. 100
    Hammy Says:

    I say Huddy, JJ (shoulder willing), Hanson, Lowe, KK.

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